Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Geekie 47.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 89.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 57.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 67.6%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 89.9%
10.1%
89.9%
Lizotte
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lizotte
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Lizotte
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
45.7% (352)
+7.8%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
63.2% (19)
-63.2%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
33.3% (3)
+5.3%
On power play, Geekie has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Geekie
Home
52.0% (198)
48.5% (165)
Away
49.7% (149)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Lizotte
Geekie
P1
50.0%
48.5%
P2
50.9%
45.1%
P3
52.2%
45.8%
Final 5 min
60.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.0%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |