Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Geekie 48.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 73.8%
Defensive zone
Geekie 53.3%
Neutral zone
Geekie 58.8%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Lizotte
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Lizotte
Geekie
Last 10: Lizotte 3-7 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
5
Lizotte
Geekie
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Lizotte
Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
48.8% (2,307)
+2.8%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
45.7% (188)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
45.7% (129)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Geekie
Home
49.5% (1,840)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Lizotte
Geekie
P1
48.0%
48.6%
P2
52.3%
48.8%
P3
50.5%
47.7%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |