Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 73.3%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 51.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Lizotte
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
38.5% (309)
+9.4%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
53.2% (79)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
25.0% (12)
+16.3%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Lizotte is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Lizotte shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Home
48.8% (170)
38.0% (184)
Away
45.1% (195)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Lizotte
Schmaltz
P1
44.4%
40.3%
P2
53.3%
39.9%
P3
43.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
43.0%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |