Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Schmaltz 42.4% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 94.9%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 82.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 89.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 91.7%
8.3%
91.7%
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Last 10: Lizotte 2-8 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
7
Lizotte
Schmaltz
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Lizotte
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
41.1% (3,218)
+10.6%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
47.3% (637)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
47.2% (125)
-4.2%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Lizotte is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,159).
Lizotte shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,877).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Home
49.8% (1,780)
42.7% (1,978)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
41.8% (2,002)
By Period
Lizotte
Schmaltz
P1
48.2%
41.1%
P2
52.8%
42.6%
P3
50.7%
43.0%
OT
66.7%
42.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |