Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 88.9%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 66.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 82.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 81.1%
18.9%
81.1%
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Last 10: Lizotte 3-7 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
7
Lizotte
Schmaltz
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
0
Lizotte
Schmaltz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
4
Lizotte
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
41.2% (3,399)
+10.4%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
47.1% (649)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
47.8% (134)
-5.5%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Home
49.5% (1,840)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Lizotte
Schmaltz
P1
48.0%
41.1%
P2
52.3%
42.9%
P3
50.5%
43.0%
OT
75.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |