Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.1%). Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Nash 51.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 70.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 64.4%
Neutral zone
Nash 50.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Lizotte
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lizotte
Nash
Last 5: Lizotte 2-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
3
Lizotte
Nash
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
54.1% (292)
-2.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
57.1% (7)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
45.9% (98)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Nash
Home
52.5% (326)
56.3% (183)
Away
50.5% (281)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Lizotte
Nash
P1
51.4%
58.9%
P2
56.3%
51.0%
P3
46.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Riley Nash |