Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Nash 48.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 59.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 57.6%
Neutral zone
Nash 59.6%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Lizotte
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lizotte
Nash
Last 7: Lizotte 2-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Lizotte
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
4
Lizotte
Nash
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
48.7% (4,621)
+2.9%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
51.0% (249)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
44.9% (550)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Nash
Home
49.5% (1,840)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Lizotte
Nash
P1
48.0%
49.0%
P2
52.3%
47.9%
P3
50.5%
48.0%
OT
75.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Riley Nash |