Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Abols 51.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 70.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 73.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 59.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Lizotte
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lizotte
Abols
Last 7: Lizotte 3-4 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Abols
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
2
Lizotte
Abols
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Abols
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
52.2% (293)
+0.7%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
50.0% (4)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
50.0% (6)
-6.9%
On power play, Abols has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Abols is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Abols
Home
44.2% (242)
54.7% (150)
Away
56.0% (234)
49.7% (153)
By Period
Lizotte
Abols
P1
49.6%
54.4%
P2
46.9%
46.3%
P3
52.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |