Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Abols 53.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 53.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 58.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Lizotte
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lizotte
Abols
Last 7: Lizotte 3-4 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Abols
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
2
Lizotte
Abols
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Abols
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
53.7% (402)
-2.1%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
57.1% (7)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
57.1% (7)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Abols has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Abols is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Abols
Home
49.5% (1,840)
56.3% (215)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
51.2% (201)
By Period
Lizotte
Abols
P1
48.0%
55.6%
P2
52.3%
47.3%
P3
50.5%
59.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |