Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Donato 48.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 84.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 76.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 54.4%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 84.4%
15.6%
84.4%
Lizotte
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Lizotte
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
48.1% (258)
+4.8%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
43.2% (37)
-18.2%
On power play, Donato has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Donato is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Donato
Home
44.2% (242)
45.8% (142)
Away
56.0% (234)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Lizotte
Donato
P1
49.6%
48.1%
P2
46.9%
46.6%
P3
52.6%
46.8%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |