Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.8% vs Donato 50.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 85.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 81.5%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.0%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 85.0%
15.0%
85.0%
Lizotte
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Lizotte
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (279)
51.4% (175)
+3.1%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Lizotte is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (244).
Lizotte shoots left. Donato is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Donato
Home
45.1% (182)
48.6% (107)
Away
58.8% (199)
51.5% (99)
By Period
Lizotte
Donato
P1
51.9%
52.0%
P2
50.0%
48.8%
P3
54.3%
47.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
52.2%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |