Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Donato 45.3% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 77.5%
Defensive zone
Donato 56.6%
Neutral zone
Donato 64.5%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Lizotte
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lizotte
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
2
Lizotte
Donato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Lizotte
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
42.9% (140)
+9.6%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
28.6% (7)
+17.6%
On power play, Lizotte has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Donato is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Donato
Home
51.4% (383)
44.6% (83)
Away
50.9% (424)
39.1% (64)
By Period
Lizotte
Donato
P1
48.8%
53.2%
P2
51.0%
33.3%
P3
53.5%
41.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |