Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Donato 44.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 61.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 84.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 68.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Lizotte
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Lizotte
Donato
Last 10: Lizotte 5-5 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
4
Lizotte
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
1
Lizotte
Donato
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
44.2% (1,179)
+7.4%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
46.3% (246)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
36.4% (11)
+5.9%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Donato
Home
49.5% (1,840)
47.2% (743)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Lizotte
Donato
P1
48.0%
43.4%
P2
52.3%
45.1%
P3
50.5%
44.4%
OT
75.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |