Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Donato 47.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 55.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 87.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 64.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Lizotte
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lizotte
Donato
Last 5: Lizotte 4-1 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Lizotte
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
38.6% (44)
+14.6%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
52.6% (19)
-14.1%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Lizotte is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Lizotte shoots left. Donato is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Donato
Home
46.9% (177)
38.7% (31)
Away
54.8% (177)
46.9% (32)
By Period
Lizotte
Donato
P1
42.3%
41.2%
P2
51.8%
44.4%
P3
60.9%
40.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.8%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |