Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Bennett 46.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 83.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 63.2%
Neutral zone
Bennett 58.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Lizotte
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lizotte
Bennett
Last 5: Lizotte 1-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Lizotte
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
46.5% (909)
+7.0%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
43.1% (51)
-43.1%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
38.5% (13)
+0.1%
On power play, Bennett has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Bennett
Home
52.0% (198)
45.4% (449)
Away
49.7% (149)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Lizotte
Bennett
P1
50.0%
49.6%
P2
50.9%
43.7%
P3
52.2%
45.1%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |