Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Bennett 48.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 85.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 85.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 54.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Lizotte
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lizotte
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Lizotte
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
46.4% (780)
+6.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
57.3% (150)
-32.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
47.8% (46)
-4.7%
On power play, Bennett has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Bennett
Home
44.2% (242)
50.3% (519)
Away
56.0% (234)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Lizotte
Bennett
P1
49.6%
47.5%
P2
46.9%
46.6%
P3
52.6%
49.8%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:49 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |