Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Zegras 41.3% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 54.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 92.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 85.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Lizotte
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lizotte
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
36.5% (156)
+17.0%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
40.7% (27)
-40.7%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
0.0% (3)
+38.6%
On power play, Zegras has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Zegras
Home
52.0% (198)
38.9% (113)
Away
49.7% (149)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Lizotte
Zegras
P1
50.0%
40.0%
P2
50.9%
38.1%
P3
52.2%
31.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |