Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Zegras 35.4% (+19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 64.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 95.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 87.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Lizotte
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lizotte
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Lizotte
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
29.6% (230)
+23.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
32.1% (56)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
100.0% (1)
-56.9%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Zegras
Home
44.2% (242)
30.6% (147)
Away
56.0% (234)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Lizotte
Zegras
P1
49.6%
33.0%
P2
46.9%
31.7%
P3
52.6%
25.6%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |