Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +33.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 44.6% vs Spezza 52.4% (-33.9%)
Offensive zone
Spezza 51.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 63.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 55.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Wheeler
Spezza
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
6.7% (15)
53.7% (451)
-47.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
54.3% (92)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
38.2% (34)
-4.9%
On even strength, Spezza has a +47.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Wheeler is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Wheeler shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Spezza
Home
42.9% (7)
55.0% (282)
Away
7.1% (14)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Wheeler
Spezza
P1
37.5%
53.1%
P2
0.0%
53.2%
P3
14.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
19.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%