Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +33.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 44.6% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-33.5%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 55.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 63.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 57.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Wheeler
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
6.7% (15)
52.5% (570)
-45.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
54.5% (145)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.4% (36)
-11.1%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Wheeler is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Wheeler shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Pavelski
Home
42.9% (7)
55.0% (391)
Away
7.1% (14)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Wheeler
Pavelski
P1
37.5%
50.8%
P2
0.0%
55.0%
P3
14.3%
52.0%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
19.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%