Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Barzal 42.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 68.7%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 55.6%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 62.9%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Wheeler
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Wheeler
Barzal
Last 5: Wheeler 3-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wheeler
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
0
Wheeler
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Wheeler
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
41.9% (3,558)
+4.8%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
43.4% (205)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
42.3% (26)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,094).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Barzal
Home
47.5% (883)
43.1% (1,893)
Away
44.2% (822)
40.9% (1,896)
By Period
Wheeler
Barzal
P1
45.0%
40.6%
P2
48.2%
44.4%
P3
44.5%
41.0%
OT
37.5%
27.6%
Final 5 min
42.4%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |