Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 50.9% vs Barzal 39.3% (+16.0%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 57.8%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 60.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 53.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Wheeler
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (104)
35.0% (283)
+18.8%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
55.6% (9)
-11.8%
On even strength, Wheeler has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Wheeler is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Wheeler shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Barzal
Home
53.8% (65)
37.0% (138)
Away
49.2% (61)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Wheeler
Barzal
P1
46.2%
29.5%
P2
56.5%
44.5%
P3
51.2%
31.8%
Final 5 min
61.3%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%