Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +27.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 44.6% vs Barzal 46.9% (-27.3%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 53.1%
Defensive zone
Barzal 68.2%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Wheeler
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
6.7% (15)
46.6% (483)
-39.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
40.9% (22)
+25.8%
On even strength, Barzal has a +39.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Wheeler is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Wheeler shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Barzal
Home
42.9% (7)
49.6% (242)
Away
7.1% (14)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Wheeler
Barzal
P1
37.5%
42.4%
P2
0.0%
49.5%
P3
14.3%
47.7%
Final 5 min
0.0%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
19.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%