Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.8% vs Backlund 50.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 79.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.9%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 59.6%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Wheeler
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Wheeler
Backlund
Last 7: Wheeler 2-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Wheeler
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Wheeler
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wheeler
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (294)
51.1% (1,070)
-2.8%
Power Play
34.0% (50)
50.5% (91)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (18)
45.2% (248)
-6.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Wheeler is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Wheeler shoots right. Backlund is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Backlund
Home
50.8% (183)
49.3% (702)
Away
40.8% (179)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Wheeler
Backlund
P1
44.1%
46.3%
P2
48.7%
53.8%
P3
45.2%
49.9%
OT
40.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |