Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 50.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 50.9% vs Backlund 50.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 64.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Wheeler
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Wheeler
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Wheeler
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Wheeler
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (104)
51.9% (1,083)
+1.9%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
51.7% (120)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.3% (183)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Wheeler is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Wheeler shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Backlund
Home
53.8% (65)
51.9% (673)
Away
49.2% (61)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Wheeler
Backlund
P1
46.2%
51.4%
P2
56.5%
50.5%
P3
51.2%
51.4%
Final 5 min
61.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |