Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 54.3% vs Backlund 50.3% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 73.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 87.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 87.1%
12.9%
87.1%
Wheeler
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Wheeler
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Wheeler
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (34)
51.0% (1,205)
+10.8%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
59.3% (108)
+1.4%
On even strength, Wheeler has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Wheeler is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Wheeler shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Backlund
Home
46.2% (26)
51.2% (782)
Away
72.2% (36)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Wheeler
Backlund
P1
76.9%
51.5%
P2
62.1%
49.8%
P3
50.0%
49.9%
Final 5 min
76.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
61.3%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |