Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +34.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 44.6% vs Sturm 52.5% (-34.0%)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 75.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 83.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 57.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Wheeler
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
6.7% (15)
54.0% (480)
-47.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
28.6% (7)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (102)
-16.7%
On even strength, Sturm has a +47.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Wheeler is 18.8% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Wheeler shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Sturm
Home
42.9% (7)
54.0% (287)
Away
7.1% (14)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Wheeler
Sturm
P1
37.5%
53.5%
P2
0.0%
51.0%
P3
14.3%
55.1%
Final 5 min
0.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
19.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%