Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 54.3% vs Sturm 59.0% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 77.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 79.6%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 54.5%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Wheeler
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (34)
60.6% (708)
+1.2%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
61.1% (18)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Wheeler is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Wheeler shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Sturm
Home
46.2% (26)
61.6% (451)
Away
72.2% (36)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Wheeler
Sturm
P1
76.9%
55.9%
P2
62.1%
58.9%
P3
50.0%
64.6%
Final 5 min
76.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
61.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%