Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Stephenson 52.3% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 68.9%
Defensive zone
Groulx 72.1%
Neutral zone
Groulx 57.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Groulx
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Groulx
Stephenson
Last 5: Groulx 2-3 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
2
Groulx
Stephenson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Stephenson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
1
Groulx
Stephenson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (222)
51.6% (829)
-7.9%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
62.7% (142)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (48)
44.3% (79)
-0.5%
On even strength, Stephenson has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Groulx shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Groulx
Stephenson
Home
49.6% (129)
52.5% (499)
Away
39.0% (146)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Groulx
Stephenson
P1
43.6%
50.2%
P2
45.0%
55.7%
P3
43.4%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
42.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.0%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |