Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 47.0% vs Stephenson 52.0% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 57.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 52.3%
Neutral zone
Groulx 56.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Groulx
Stephenson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (65)
52.1% (801)
-2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
62.0% (242)
-62.0%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
39.9% (183)
-12.1%
On power play, Stephenson has a +62.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Groulx is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Groulx shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Groulx
Stephenson
Home
52.8% (36)
53.1% (672)
Away
36.7% (49)
51.1% (554)
By Period
Groulx
Stephenson
P1
50.0%
54.6%
P2
40.6%
51.3%
P3
41.9%
51.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.5%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%