Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 48.1% vs Pageau 55.0% (-9.5%)
Offensive zone
Groulx 53.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 63.7%
Neutral zone
Groulx 53.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Groulx
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (75)
55.8% (1,000)
-6.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.6% (182)
-56.6%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
51.2% (170)
-36.9%
On power play, Pageau has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Groulx is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Groulx shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
Groulx
Pageau
Home
50.0% (56)
57.1% (674)
Away
37.0% (27)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Groulx
Pageau
P1
48.0%
56.9%
P2
44.8%
54.5%
P3
44.8%
54.7%
Final 5 min
36.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
45.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%