Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Pageau 55.0% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 73.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 81.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 81.9%
18.1%
81.9%
Groulx
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Groulx
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
0
Groulx
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (222)
57.1% (905)
-13.4%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
55.2% (116)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (48)
48.0% (204)
-4.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Groulx is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Groulx shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Groulx
Pageau
Home
49.6% (129)
57.0% (618)
Away
39.0% (146)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Groulx
Pageau
P1
43.6%
54.4%
P2
45.0%
61.0%
P3
43.4%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |