Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 47.0% vs Staal 54.6% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 57.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Groulx
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Groulx
Staal
Last 6: Groulx 3-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Groulx
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Groulx
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (65)
56.1% (955)
-6.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
66.9% (142)
-66.9%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
43.0% (242)
-15.2%
On power play, Staal has a +66.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Groulx is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Groulx shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Groulx
Staal
Home
52.8% (36)
55.4% (663)
Away
36.7% (49)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Groulx
Staal
P1
50.0%
55.1%
P2
40.6%
54.7%
P3
41.9%
53.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |