Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Staal 55.3% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.7%
Defensive zone
Groulx 57.5%
Neutral zone
Groulx 57.8%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Groulx
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Groulx
Staal
Last 7: Groulx 3-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Groulx
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Groulx
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (306)
56.0% (14,405)
-10.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
62.6% (1,691)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (66)
48.1% (2,841)
-8.7%
On power play, Staal has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Groulx is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Groulx shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Home / Away
Groulx
Staal
Home
49.3% (205)
56.4% (9,518)
Away
38.7% (173)
54.4% (9,484)
By Period
Groulx
Staal
P1
44.4%
55.1%
P2
46.0%
56.0%
P3
43.1%
55.0%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
38.0%▼
41.5%
44.4%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |