Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Staal 57.6% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.4%
Neutral zone
Groulx 53.6%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Groulx
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Groulx
Staal
Last 7: Groulx 3-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Groulx
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Groulx
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (222)
58.9% (1,096)
-15.2%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
68.4% (57)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (48)
51.8% (222)
-8.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Groulx shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Groulx
Staal
Home
49.6% (129)
57.0% (646)
Away
39.0% (146)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Groulx
Staal
P1
43.6%
55.9%
P2
45.0%
55.4%
P3
43.4%
62.0%
OT
50.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
42.6%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
38.0%▼
41.5%
44.0%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |