Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Groulx wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.3% vs Staal 55.3% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 62.5%
Defensive zone
Groulx 56.4%
Neutral zone
Groulx 56.5%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Groulx
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Groulx
Staal
Last 10: Groulx 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Groulx
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
3
2
Groulx
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Groulx
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (371)
55.9% (14,620)
-9.8%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
62.7% (1,745)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (84)
48.0% (2,896)
-11.1%
On power play, Staal has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Groulx is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Groulx shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Groulx
Staal
Home
49.8% (241)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
38.3% (222)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Groulx
Staal
P1
45.3%
55.2%
P2
44.8%
55.9%
P3
42.9%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |