Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 47.0% vs Norris 49.7% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 58.9%
Defensive zone
Groulx 72.3%
Neutral zone
Groulx 56.0%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Groulx
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Groulx
Norris
Last 6: Groulx 2-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Groulx
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (65)
50.0% (356)
-0.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
48.7% (76)
-48.7%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
42.9% (7)
-15.1%
On power play, Norris has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Groulx is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Groulx shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Groulx
Norris
Home
52.8% (36)
47.2% (193)
Away
36.7% (49)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Groulx
Norris
P1
50.0%
53.8%
P2
40.6%
48.2%
P3
41.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.5%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Josh Norris |