Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.3% vs Norris 52.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 56.7%
Defensive zone
Groulx 73.0%
Neutral zone
Groulx 61.7%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Groulx
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Groulx
Norris
Last 6: Groulx 2-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Groulx
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (371)
52.5% (3,057)
-6.4%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
53.7% (404)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (84)
45.4% (240)
-8.5%
On power play, Norris has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Groulx is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Groulx shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Home / Away
Groulx
Norris
Home
49.8% (241)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
38.3% (222)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Groulx
Norris
P1
45.3%
55.6%
P2
44.8%
51.4%
P3
42.9%
50.1%
OT
50.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Josh Norris |