Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.0% vs 44.5%). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Cates 45.8% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Cates 60.7%
Defensive zone
Groulx 62.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Groulx
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (222)
44.3% (271)
-0.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
77.8% (18)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (48)
31.7% (41)
+12.1%
On power play, Cates has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Groulx shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Groulx
Cates
Home
49.6% (129)
52.0% (148)
Away
39.0% (146)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Groulx
Cates
P1
43.6%
42.7%
P2
45.0%
42.9%
P3
43.4%
48.5%
Final 5 min
42.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
44.0%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
44.5%