Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.9% vs 43.0%). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.1% vs Cates 43.2% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Cates 59.6%
Defensive zone
Groulx 53.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 50.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Groulx
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (393)
44.1% (2,786)
+0.7%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
42.9% (254)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (94)
34.9% (373)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Groulx shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Groulx
Cates
Home
50.0% (244)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
36.1% (252)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Groulx
Cates
P1
45.1%
44.5%
P2
43.9%
43.7%
P3
40.4%
41.2%
OT
33.3%
29.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%