Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 47.0% vs McLeod 47.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 52.0%
Defensive zone
Groulx 50.5%
Neutral zone
Groulx 57.3%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Groulx
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Groulx
McLeod
Last 5: Groulx 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Groulx
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Groulx
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Groulx
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (65)
49.2% (796)
+0.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
44.8% (87)
-44.8%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
43.3% (263)
-15.5%
On power play, McLeod has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Groulx is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Groulx shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Groulx
McLeod
Home
52.8% (36)
49.2% (575)
Away
36.7% (49)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Groulx
McLeod
P1
50.0%
52.8%
P2
40.6%
45.1%
P3
41.9%
45.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |