Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Groulx wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.3% vs McLeod 49.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Groulx 67.5%
Defensive zone
Groulx 69.2%
Neutral zone
Groulx 69.9%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Groulx
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Groulx
McLeod
Last 10: Groulx 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
5
Groulx
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Groulx
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Groulx
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (371)
50.4% (3,345)
-4.3%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
51.0% (292)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (84)
44.3% (635)
-7.4%
On power play, McLeod has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Groulx is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Groulx shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Groulx
McLeod
Home
49.8% (241)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
38.3% (222)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Groulx
McLeod
P1
45.3%
50.8%
P2
44.8%
48.4%
P3
42.9%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:55 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |