Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Lafferty 47.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Groulx
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Groulx
Lafferty
Last 5: Groulx 3-2 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Groulx
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (306)
47.9% (1,393)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
45.7% (46)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (66)
43.5% (184)
-4.1%
On power play, Groulx has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Groulx is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Groulx shoots left. Lafferty is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,234).
Home / Away
Groulx
Lafferty
Home
49.3% (205)
47.0% (825)
Away
38.7% (173)
47.6% (798)
By Period
Groulx
Lafferty
P1
44.4%
49.3%
P2
46.0%
43.1%
P3
43.1%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
38.0%▼
41.5%
44.4%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |