Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 47.0% vs Lafferty 50.7% (-8.9%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 57.6%
Defensive zone
Groulx 73.1%
Neutral zone
Groulx 51.5%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Groulx
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (65)
52.4% (42)
-3.2%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Groulx is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Groulx shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Groulx
Lafferty
Home
52.8% (36)
47.8% (23)
Away
36.7% (49)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Groulx
Lafferty
P1
50.0%
53.3%
P2
40.6%
55.6%
P3
41.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.5%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%