Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tuch wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 43.9% vs Horvat 53.5% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 86.5%
Defensive zone
Tuch 52.4%
Neutral zone
Tuch 73.2%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Tuch
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Tuch
Horvat
Last 6: Tuch 1-5 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Horvat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
5
Tuch
Horvat
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
31.7% (60)
54.0% (1,606)
-22.3%
Power Play
46.2% (52)
52.9% (308)
-6.7%
On even strength, Horvat has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Tuch is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Tuch shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Tuch
Horvat
Home
41.7% (48)
57.2% (987)
Away
35.9% (64)
50.2% (1,031)
By Period
Tuch
Horvat
P1
34.2%
53.9%
P2
32.6%
53.7%
P3
50.0%
53.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
38.4%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |