Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Jarnkrok 51.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 54.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 54.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Jarnkrok
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
0
1
Horvat
Jarnkrok
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
56.3% (16)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
58.8% (17)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. Jarnkrok is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Home
58.2% (469)
66.7% (18)
Away
54.0% (544)
46.7% (15)
By Period
Horvat
Jarnkrok
P1
59.6%
50.0%
P2
53.1%
72.7%
P3
55.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |