Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Jarnkrok 51.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Jarnkrok leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 70.7%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 70.8%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 66.9%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
0
4
Horvat
Jarnkrok
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Jarnkrok
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Jarnkrok
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
51.8% (326)
+3.8%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
54.4% (79)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
43.5% (62)
+5.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Home
58.8% (724)
53.0% (281)
Away
55.3% (751)
48.4% (186)
By Period
Horvat
Jarnkrok
P1
57.0%
51.6%
P2
57.5%
50.6%
P3
57.0%
51.5%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |