Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Jarnkrok 49.6% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 66.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 52.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 56.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Jarnkrok
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
53.7% (82)
-0.2%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
10.0% (10)
+46.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
50.0% (40)
+1.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Home
54.2% (714)
50.7% (71)
Away
53.6% (705)
47.5% (61)
By Period
Horvat
Jarnkrok
P1
53.5%
52.1%
P2
56.3%
40.5%
P3
53.5%
56.1%
OT
28.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |