Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Jarnkrok 50.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 58.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 79.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 54.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
4
Horvat
Jarnkrok
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
0
Horvat
Jarnkrok
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Jarnkrok
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
50.5% (301)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
50.0% (14)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
43.8% (16)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (723).
Horvat shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jarnkrok
Home
57.2% (987)
53.8% (210)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
43.8% (121)
By Period
Horvat
Jarnkrok
P1
53.9%
48.7%
P2
53.7%
54.0%
P3
53.6%
47.6%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |