Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 56.7%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Dvorak 56.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 59.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 60.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 58.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Horvat
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Horvat
Dvorak
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Dvorak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
4
Horvat
Dvorak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Horvat
Dvorak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
55.7% (714)
-0.1%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
61.1% (131)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
57.4% (122)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dvorak
Home
58.8% (724)
59.0% (432)
Away
55.3% (751)
54.8% (535)
By Period
Horvat
Dvorak
P1
57.0%
58.7%
P2
57.5%
53.9%
P3
57.0%
57.2%
OT
36.4%
70.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |