Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Dewar 47.5% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 78.3%
Defensive zone
Dewar 68.6%
Neutral zone
Dewar 51.6%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Horvat
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Horvat
Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Dewar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
46.2% (331)
+7.3%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
45.5% (11)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
50.0% (68)
+1.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dewar
Home
54.2% (714)
43.9% (189)
Away
53.6% (705)
49.3% (221)
By Period
Horvat
Dewar
P1
53.5%
50.4%
P2
56.3%
50.0%
P3
53.5%
40.8%
Final 5 min
52.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |