Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dewar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Dewar 46.0% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 88.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 50.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 66.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Horvat
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Dewar
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Dewar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Dewar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
40.2% (92)
+18.4%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
100.0% (1)
-39.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
48.4% (31)
-2.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dewar
Home
59.2% (684)
41.0% (78)
Away
57.0% (635)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Horvat
Dewar
P1
57.9%
38.9%
P2
55.4%
53.3%
P3
61.5%
34.9%
Final 5 min
60.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |