Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs McMichael 43.2% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 68.8%
Defensive zone
McMichael 69.8%
Neutral zone
McMichael 78.1%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Horvat
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Horvat
McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
2
Horvat
McMichael
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Horvat
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
43.4% (761)
+10.1%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
40.7% (59)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
30.8% (52)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Horvat
McMichael
Home
54.2% (714)
42.1% (444)
Away
53.6% (705)
42.8% (428)
By Period
Horvat
McMichael
P1
53.5%
42.5%
P2
56.3%
41.9%
P3
53.5%
42.5%
OT
28.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |